Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 220.409315 265.297066 321.336918 398.110576 503.350312 647.086753 8.670271e+02
2025-02-02 180.299774 238.904992 323.596650 462.456693 702.007001 1141.534767 2.155935e+03
2025-02-09 145.216993 202.636891 292.692059 457.302025 788.479278 1550.310919 4.144614e+03
2025-02-16 125.253914 181.847611 276.501902 465.828842 902.821058 2164.084721 9.177462e+03
2025-02-23 110.590907 165.572545 262.332734 470.842788 1014.234862 2978.446126 2.394603e+04
2025-03-02 100.188336 154.073314 253.283726 482.265075 1154.379564 4270.229919 1.060664e+05
2025-03-09 91.490959 143.851946 243.981811 489.283431 1292.639998 6127.058685 2.615700e+06
2025-03-16 82.358409 131.361149 227.420904 472.359394 1338.819741 7751.808203 NaN
2025-03-23 78.348375 127.753976 228.419677 502.099235 1604.891570 13879.390052 NaN
2025-03-30 71.050034 116.849173 211.590060 475.871265 1600.743427 16897.165949 NaN
2025-04-06 66.845240 111.485744 206.166063 481.940839 1773.519696 28137.982611 NaN
2025-04-13 62.768182 105.883465 199.218230 481.070200 1916.295243 47274.311394 NaN
2025-04-20 61.326858 105.926029 206.716473 535.856461 2571.834474 327295.842780 NaN
2025-04-27 61.226964 108.852946 222.407447 633.114588 4018.175891 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 57.087618 102.454951 212.559021 624.987589 4415.447227 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 54.141774 98.335389 208.047169 638.222964 5239.613580 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 51.351890 94.230468 202.787376 646.031753 6126.755799 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 49.111144 91.122404 199.779065 663.881787 7497.946871 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 46.908117 87.855850 195.711929 674.890378 9006.148114 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 44.066457 82.809015 185.522811 648.397020 9224.735889 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 43.035296 81.975305 188.002068 695.071905 13245.965102 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 40.348347 76.894262 176.497493 653.879764 12605.032076 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 38.845214 74.581226 173.421926 663.373952 15426.893149 NaN NaN